Stalemate and the possibility of dialogue in the Afghan war

Brian M Downing  Statements coming from the London summit on Afghanistan recognize the need for a negotiated settlement to the wars that have raged there for most of the last thirty-two years.  The statements are surprisingly candid; diplomatic language is usually less direct than what the NATO chieftains and Kabul Read More …

Sources of insurgent support in Afghanistan

 Brian M Downing Discussion of Afghanistan policy is not being conducted with an adequate understanding of the insurgency there. Insurgents are considered akin to a crime syndicate that has expanded its influence through intimidation and violence, or to a religious cult that spreads through hortatory oration. These views are partly Read More …

Escalation and Reappraisal in Afghanistan

Escalation and Reappraisal in Afghanistan Brian M Downing  The recent campaign in Helmand province, in southern Afghanistan, is the first phase of a far-reaching counterinsurgency program.  Western and Afghan troops will clear Taliban fighters from villages and later whole districts, then begin a seemingly simple but actually arduous process of Read More …

Militias and Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

Brian M Downing  The new approach to fighting the Taliban calls for building up local Afghan forces – militias and tribal levies. While this is a welcome departure from the neglect and reliance on massive firepower of past years, the approach will face many obstacles. Local forces, from the Soviet Read More …

Counterinsurgency and organizations in Afghanistan

Brian M Downing  The United States is entering a new phase in the war in Afghanistan. This approach to fighting the Taliban is based on counter-insurgency thinking: building indigenous police and military forces, providing services to villagers, and winning support from fence-sitters and insurgent sympathizers. It is hoped that in Read More …

Surge and stalemate in Afghanistan 

Brian M Downing  The United States will soon double the number of its troops in Afghanistan from about 30,000 to 60,000, and several other North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) countries will also up their troop levels.  The move comes with little surprise and considerable bipartisan support in the US, but Read More …

The Changing Game in Afghanistan

Brian M Downing  Two remarkable events took place in recent days involving the war against the Taliban, the Pakistani Taliban, and al Qaeda. Neither event augurs well for US/NATO efforts in Afghanistan, though important opportunities may arise. In any case, recent events signal a new phase in the war in Read More …

The US, Iran, and Regional Stability

Brian M Downing The US and Iran could be allies again.  Angry verbal exchanges notwithstanding, geopolitical dynamics present both countries with common interests and enemies, as they did many years ago when Washington and Tehran cooperated closely in the region.  Elites and ideologies pose obstacles to renewed cooperation, but if Read More …