The price of oil and the future of Syria

Brian M Downing  The world, it would be fair to say, is in disarray. Most economies are sluggish, political paralysis and decay are everywhere, and appallingly brutal militant groups are on the march. Nonetheless, despite fighting near vital oil fields in the Gulf region, the price of oil – inordinately Read More …

ISIL and Sunni autonomy

Brian M Downing  The Islamic State offensive in Iraq has been blunted, but forming an effective counteroffensive has proved elusive. That will first require a political agreement among the antagonistic Shia, Kurdish, and Sunni peoples. The Sunnis are only about 15% of Iraq’s population, they are despised by the others, Read More …

The Saudi endgame for Iran 

Brian M Downing  Wars bring together states in common purpose and create myths of unity and friendship. Such myths are eagerly bought by the media and general publics alike. Meanwhile, behind the scenes, there is considerable squabbling that only becomes apparent when the war is over and long-standing differences arise, Read More …

Syriana Redux – The fragmentation of the Middle East

Brian M Downing  The national borders from the eastern Mediterranean to the Iranian border were made after the breakup of the Ottoman Empire in 1918.  Britain and France, with little consideration for sectarian or ethnic realities, drew lines across the area and established the new countries of Iraq and Syria. Read More …

Trita Parsi, A Single Roll of the Dice: Obama’s Diplomacy with Iran – reviewed by Brian M Downing

Trita Parsi’s first book, Treacherous Alliance (2008), displayed a masterful understanding of the open and hidden dealings between Iran, the US, and Israel over the last thirty-five years.  This impressive follow-up study of events since President Barack Obama came to office in 2009 is welcome and exceptionally well-timed. The new administration Read More …

The US pullout from Iraq

Brian M Downing  United States President Barack Obama announced on Friday that US troops would be out of Iraq by the end of 2011, little more than two months away.  This date was set three years ago with the Iraqi government’s status of forces agreement, but two US administrations have Read More …

Generational conflict in the House of Saud

 Brian M Downing  World attention is rightly fixed on the fighting in Libya, but events in Saudi Arabia slated for Friday, March 11, might well take precedent. Young Saudis are mobilizing for “day of rage” demonstrations calling for political reforms but the regime has warned against any such gatherings. A Read More …

US national security, eight years after the 9/11 attacks

Brian M Downing  The September 11th attacks led to various responses in the American public, shock and outrage the most immediate.  Subsequent polling data showed another response.  Trust in government rose sharply and immediately – a curious phenomenon, for 9/11 could be readily seen as resulting from colossal government failures.  Read More …

Blinded in the fog of war 

Brian M Downing  The September 11, 2001, attacks on the United States led to various responses in the American public, shock and outrage the most immediate. Subsequent polling data showed another response. Trust in government rose sharply and immediately – a curious phenomenon, for 9/11 could be readily seen as Read More …