The Islamic State’s offensive stalls

Brian M Downing The Islamic State’s fearsome offensive in northern and central Iraq has stalled owing to indigenous ground troops and western airpower. In some places, IS has been forced to retreat, beginning a new phase in its effort to bring unification to Muslims of the world, whether they want Read More …

The Middle East and its armies

Brian M Downing  Recent events have shown the ineffectiveness of armies in the Middle East, from Libya to Iraq, and extending beyond the region into Afghanistan. Training missions can teach troops to shoot and march and salute, but not to hold up under fire. Several armies have struggled or collapsed Read More …

Cohesion and disintegration in Iraq’s armies

 Brian M Downing In June, well equipped Iraqi troops trained by the US and other powers collapsed before a smaller and less well equipped force led by men who had little military experience until they plunged into wars in Iraq and Syria. Shadows of doubt have been cast on the Read More …

Will the war come home to Saudi Arabia?

Brian M Downing  Over the last three years Saudi Arabia has devoted considerable diplomatic and financial resources into dual efforts in the Middle East: thwarting democracy and opposing Iranian-Shia influence. Riyadh has financed militant groups, strategically manipulated fiscal and oil subsidies, and trained students in zealous militancy to serve in Read More …

The Saudi endgame for Iran 

Brian M Downing  Wars bring together states in common purpose and create myths of unity and friendship. Such myths are eagerly bought by the media and general publics alike. Meanwhile, behind the scenes, there is considerable squabbling that only becomes apparent when the war is over and long-standing differences arise, Read More …

Iran and the US contend in Afghanistan

Brian M Downing Iran over the last decade has devoted considerable attention to getting US forces away from its borders.  In Iraq, it backed Shi’ite militias who formed an important part of the insurgency.  It later pressed Prime Minister Malicki to oust US forces, though he did allow US training Read More …

Syriana Redux – The fragmentation of the Middle East

Brian M Downing  The national borders from the eastern Mediterranean to the Iranian border were made after the breakup of the Ottoman Empire in 1918.  Britain and France, with little consideration for sectarian or ethnic realities, drew lines across the area and established the new countries of Iraq and Syria. Read More …

Prospects of war with Iran 

Brian M Downing  The escalation of tensions in the Persian Gulf and attendant positioning of military assets in the region gives the impression that war is all but inevitable.  Machinery is in gear and turning faster and faster by the day, as it was in the lead-ups to the Gulf Read More …

The consequences of war with Iran for Saudi Arabia

 Brian M Downing  Discussion of a possible war between Iran and the coalition aligning against it centers on destroying Iranian nuclear sites and ensuring that oil tankers freely transit the Strait of Hormuz. Countries embarking on war scrutinize as many scenarios and possibilities as they can, but wars invariably present Read More …