The view from Tehran

Brian M Downing  The Iranian nuclear talks ended without agreement, except to extend the deadline on negotiations until next July. Over the next few months, world events may change the positions of the powers involved. The pause also offers time to better understand each power’s viewpoint.  Each country, including Iran, Read More …

One door closes, another opens for IS

 Brian M Downing The Islamic State’s fearsome offensive in northern and central Iraq has stalled owing to indigenous ground troops and Western airpower. In some places, IS has been forced to retreat, beginning a new phase in its effort to bring unification to Muslims of the world, whether they want Read More …

The Islamic State’s offensive stalls

Brian M Downing The Islamic State’s fearsome offensive in northern and central Iraq has stalled owing to indigenous ground troops and western airpower. In some places, IS has been forced to retreat, beginning a new phase in its effort to bring unification to Muslims of the world, whether they want Read More …

Politics and the long war in Iraq

Brian M Downing  The four armed groups warring in Iraq – Islamic State (IS), the Kurdish peshmerga, the Iraqi army, and Sunni tribal levies – have strengths and weaknesses. They also have varying levels of foreign support and capacities for cooperation. IS troops have a marked qualitative edge but are Read More …

The Egyptian military and politics – and Saudi ambitions

Brian M Downing The Egyptian generals stand to come out of the present crisis more powerful than before, if they play it right. The old regime – Mubarak’s regime – comprised family cliques, business oligarchs, and the army elite. Two years ago, the army objected to Mubarak’s son as president-in-waiting Read More …

Syriana Redux – The fragmentation of the Middle East

Brian M Downing  The national borders from the eastern Mediterranean to the Iranian border were made after the breakup of the Ottoman Empire in 1918.  Britain and France, with little consideration for sectarian or ethnic realities, drew lines across the area and established the new countries of Iraq and Syria. Read More …

Trita Parsi, A Single Roll of the Dice: Obama’s Diplomacy with Iran – reviewed by Brian M Downing

Trita Parsi’s first book, Treacherous Alliance (2008), displayed a masterful understanding of the open and hidden dealings between Iran, the US, and Israel over the last thirty-five years.  This impressive follow-up study of events since President Barack Obama came to office in 2009 is welcome and exceptionally well-timed. The new administration Read More …

Obama takes charge of the Afghan war

Brian M Downing President Obama has announced the withdrawal from Afghanistan of ten thousand US troops by the end of this year, with another twenty-three thousand to depart by the middle of 2012.  Partisan politicians and the military will find this too steep and try to slow the pace, but Read More …

Vietnam and the New American Way of War

Brian M Downing  Here was a new generation . . . grown up to find all Gods dead, all wars fought, all faiths in man shaken.  – F Scott Fitzgerald Baghdad falls to US forces. – 2003 headline When Saigon fell and the last Huey was pushed overboard into the Read More …

China in the Great Game?

Brian M Downing  Wars are often fought over natural resources and peace agreements wrestle over them.  And any settlement in Afghanistan will have to contend with them.  China, aloof from the war but enmeshed in the economy, is positioning itself to be the biggest winner. China already operates an immense Read More …