Ahmed Rashid, Pakistan on the Brink: The Future of America, Pakistan, and Afghanistan

Reviewed by Brian M Downing With the US ensnarled in the Afghan insurgency and Pakistan headed toward implosion, Af-Pak and the countries around it are in crisis.  Renowned journalist Ahmed Rashid offers a series of essays drawn from his connections to figures in the state, army, and insurgent groups which Read More …

Syriana Redux – The fragmentation of the Middle East

Brian M Downing  The national borders from the eastern Mediterranean to the Iranian border were made after the breakup of the Ottoman Empire in 1918.  Britain and France, with little consideration for sectarian or ethnic realities, drew lines across the area and established the new countries of Iraq and Syria. Read More …

The Taliban confronts a possible settlement 

Brian M Downing Over the past 10 years, the Taliban have recovered from their ouster and established a presence in half of Afghanistan’s districts, where they have become a de facto government in many of them. The Afghan government is frail and unwilling to reform. The United States is war-weary Read More …

An Enemy We Created: The Myth of the Taliban/Al Qaeda Merger in Afghanistan by Alex Strick Van Linschoten and Felix Kuehn

Reviewed by Brian M Downing Peace talks between the US and the Taliban are in the offing and the relationship between the latter and al-Qaeda will figure highly in them. Strick Van Linschoten and Kuehn argue that the two Islamist groups have never had close ties. This will strike longtime Read More …

Afghanistan and the Future of Counterinsurgency

Brian M Downing If we were overthrown, there would be major chaos and confusion in the country and everyone including every single oppressed individual would blame you for it. – Mullah Omar to President Clinton, Sept 1999 A government that is losing to an insurgency is not being outfought, it Read More …

Prospects of war with Iran 

Brian M Downing  The escalation of tensions in the Persian Gulf and attendant positioning of military assets in the region gives the impression that war is all but inevitable.  Machinery is in gear and turning faster and faster by the day, as it was in the lead-ups to the Gulf Read More …

The Battle of Homs and the future of the Syrian revolt

Brian M Downing For over two weeks now, Syrian troops have surrounded Homs, a city of about a million people not far from the northern border with Lebanon.  President Bashir Assad’s troops are firing indiscriminately into the hapless town, entering parts of it, and preparing a full assault to crush Read More …

The Gulf crisis in the global setting

 Brian M Downing  The United States has shifted its attention away from Iraq, Afghanistan and other parts of the world and firmly fixed it on Iran. Along with this has come a buildup of naval, air and ground forces to pressure and perhaps even attack Iran over fears its nuclear Read More …

Negotiations and great games in Af-Pak

Brian M Downing  Hopes for a negotiated settlement in Afghanistan are beginning once more, but the problematic Byzantine geopolitics are not readily apparent. It is not the bipolar confrontation between Britain and Russia that it was in the 19th century. Nor is it simply the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) Read More …

Sectarian conflict flares in Iraq

Brian M Downing  Sectarian conflict in Iraq is again a concern as the Shi’ite government seeks the arrest of a Sunni vice president whom they tie to an assassination team.  Implicit in the accusation is the charge that Sunni politicians were complicit in a number of bombings over the past Read More …