Withdrawal, reform, and the Afghan army 

  Brian M Downing  Following the announcement on Wednesday by United States President Barack Obama, the US will have 10,000 fewer troops in Afghanistan by the end of the year, from a total of over 100,000, with another 23,000 to depart by the middle of 2012.  With the reduction, the Read More …

Obama takes charge of the Afghan war

Brian M Downing President Obama has announced the withdrawal from Afghanistan of ten thousand US troops by the end of this year, with another twenty-three thousand to depart by the middle of 2012.  Partisan politicians and the military will find this too steep and try to slow the pace, but Read More …

The Saudi-Pakistani connection (it’s more than you might think)

Brian M Downing  (from 2011) Ties between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are long-standing but for the most part have not stood out in the turbulent affairs of the region. However, increased tensions with Iran, the Arab Spring, and growing disenchantment with the United States are making the relationship more expansive, Read More …

The Obama administration ramps up drone strikes 

Brian M Downing  With the change of presidents in 2009, many observers expected to see a decline in unmanned aircraft strikes inside Pakistan. After all, these drone attacks were widely seen as part of the George W Bush administration’s heavy-handed approach to going after terrorists along the AfPak line. The Read More …

Vietnam and the New American Way of War

Brian M Downing  Here was a new generation . . . grown up to find all Gods dead, all wars fought, all faiths in man shaken.  – F Scott Fitzgerald Baghdad falls to US forces. – 2003 headline When Saigon fell and the last Huey was pushed overboard into the Read More …

Pakistani Intelligence on the Defensive

Brian M Downing  I know it was you, Fredo.  That Osama bin Laden has been living comfortably in Abbottabad and evidently directing al Qaeda from there – all within earshot of a Pakistani military facility – has been a tremendous embarrassment to Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), but it comes as Read More …

China in the Great Game?

Brian M Downing  Wars are often fought over natural resources and peace agreements wrestle over them.  And any settlement in Afghanistan will have to contend with them.  China, aloof from the war but enmeshed in the economy, is positioning itself to be the biggest winner. China already operates an immense Read More …

Method or Madness in Hamid Karzai

Brian M Downing Much of the world is befuddled by the actions and ineptitude of Afghan President Hamid Karzai.  It has led to speculation that he is manic depressive, an opium addict, or just singularly unskilled in politics.  As with assessing a figure as “evil” or “insane,” this tends to Read More …

The Other Conflict in Afghanistan

Brian M Downing  The ongoing insurgency in the Pashtun regions of Afghanistan rightly commands attention, but it obscures a critical second conflict in the country. Longstanding antagonisms between the non-Pashtun peoples of the North and the Pashtun people of the South are heading toward fissure.  Paradoxically, settlement of the insurgency, through negotiation Read More …

Russia’s Afghan foray

Brian M Downing  Russia’s use of its military and security forces has historically not been known for economy of force or strategic subtlety. Injudicious invaders and troublesome satellites have been met with overwhelming force. However, in the decades after Joseph Stalin and his successors belatedly departed the scene, Russia has Read More …