News & comment 19 Dec 15

Allied airstrike kills Iraqi troops  Ten Iraqi soldiers were killed by an allied airstrike just west of Baghdad. US Sec Defense Carter has said the culpable pilot was likely an American. Iraqi politicians will use this to drum up anti-american sentiment and they will do so with considerable encouragement from Read More …

News & comment 15 Dec 15

Saudis form “anti-terrorism” partnership Saudi Arabia has formed a vast alliance, of sorts, with fellow Gulf principalities, Turkey, Pakistan, Egypt, as well as aver two dozen other states. Look for sharing of intelligence and joint training exercises, but not much else. This alliance is at least as anti-Shia/Iran as it Read More …

The Iranian-Russian offensive in Syria stalls

  It’s been almost three months since Iran and Russia increased efforts to bolster the flagging troops of the Assad government – Russia with advisers and airpower, Iran with advisers and ground troops. Their aims are not precisely known but they likely want either to decisively defeat the rebels, or Read More …

News & comment 13 Dec 15

Opposition to Turkey’s presence in Kurdistan builds Turkey deployed troops into Kurdistan, which is still legally part of Iraq, in order to defend a business partner. Kurdistan is at war with ISIL but there have also been skirmishes between Kurdish troops and Arab-Shia militias aligned with Baghdad – and Iran. Read More …

News & comment 11 Dec 15

US airstrikes cripple ISIL at Ramadi The Pentagon estimates that its airstrikes have killed 350 ISIL troops in or near the Anbar capital. Such estimates should not be taken as precise. Nonetheless, when ISIL has to concentrate its troops, as at Kobane, Sinjar, and now Ramadi, airpower can deliver devastating blows. al Read More …

Iran and Russia seek to weaken the US in Iraq

Expectations that Iran would move closer to the US after the nuclear deal have to be put aside, at least for the foreseeable future. Supreme Leader Khameini has closed off further dialog with Washington, synchronized the media with the mullahs and generals, tested the limits of the nuclear deal, and aligned his country’s foreign policy Read More …