Saudi Arabia’s campaign against the Arab Spring

Brian M. Downing The uprisings of the Arab Spring have been supported in the West and many other countries as well.  The tide is seen as welcome, inevitable, and essential to placing the region on a proper political and economic track. That view, however, is not shared in Saudi Arabia. Read More …

An unwelcome turn coming in the Arab Spring?

Brian M Downing The remarkable uprisings across the Arab world of the last sixteen months have ousted or imperiled leaders in several countries, including Egypt, Yemen, and Syria.  None of these movements, however, has been successful in its goal of creating a new political system let alone a democratic one.  Read More …

Leaving the Afghan war to the ANA and Taliban 

Brian M Downing  The United States is withdrawing troops from Afghanistan though the recent agreement with President Hamid Karzai indicates that the US will retain a significant presence, civilian and military, for many years to come. It is unclear how many Western troops will remain but the level will certainly Read More …

Afghan endgame bring shudders to the Pakistani army

Brian M Downing  The war in Afghanistan has been stalemated for several years now and eyes are turning to a negotiated settlement. In recent weeks, talks between the United States and the Taliban have come and gone, but they will almost assuredly return.  As welcome as these bilateral talks are, Read More …

An Enemy We Created: The Myth of the Taliban/Al Qaeda Merger in Afghanistan by Alex Strick Van Linschoten and Felix Kuehn

Reviewed by Brian M Downing Peace talks between the US and the Taliban are in the offing and the relationship between the latter and al-Qaeda will figure highly in them. Strick Van Linschoten and Kuehn argue that the two Islamist groups have never had close ties. This will strike longtime Read More …

The Gulf crisis in the global setting

 Brian M Downing  The United States has shifted its attention away from Iraq, Afghanistan and other parts of the world and firmly fixed it on Iran. Along with this has come a buildup of naval, air and ground forces to pressure and perhaps even attack Iran over fears its nuclear Read More …

The consequences of war with Iran for Saudi Arabia

 Brian M Downing  Discussion of a possible war between Iran and the coalition aligning against it centers on destroying Iranian nuclear sites and ensuring that oil tankers freely transit the Strait of Hormuz. Countries embarking on war scrutinize as many scenarios and possibilities as they can, but wars invariably present Read More …

War, mullahs, and the revolutionary guard in Iran

Brian M Downing  The United States and other powers are seeking to change the government of Iran from the present mullah-centered authoritarianism to a representative government, or at least to a government more acceptable to regional powers. This objective is being pursued amid a program of sanctions and violent attacks, Read More …

Prospects of a military coup in Syria?

Brian M Downing  The uprising in Syria has in the last week become much more violent and the Assad government is tottering.  Civilians have obtained weapons and begun an armed resistance.  Syrian soldiers are deserting and forming a Free Syrian Army.  Fighting is breaking out between the Sunni majority and Read More …