The Taliban confronts a possible settlement 

Brian M Downing Over the past 10 years, the Taliban have recovered from their ouster and established a presence in half of Afghanistan’s districts, where they have become a de facto government in many of them. The Afghan government is frail and unwilling to reform. The United States is war-weary Read More …

An Enemy We Created: The Myth of the Taliban/Al Qaeda Merger in Afghanistan by Alex Strick Van Linschoten and Felix Kuehn

Reviewed by Brian M Downing Peace talks between the US and the Taliban are in the offing and the relationship between the latter and al-Qaeda will figure highly in them. Strick Van Linschoten and Kuehn argue that the two Islamist groups have never had close ties. This will strike longtime Read More …

Negotiations and great games in Af-Pak

Brian M Downing  Hopes for a negotiated settlement in Afghanistan are beginning once more, but the problematic Byzantine geopolitics are not readily apparent. It is not the bipolar confrontation between Britain and Russia that it was in the 19th century. Nor is it simply the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) Read More …

Withdrawal, reform, and the Afghan army 

  Brian M Downing  Following the announcement on Wednesday by United States President Barack Obama, the US will have 10,000 fewer troops in Afghanistan by the end of the year, from a total of over 100,000, with another 23,000 to depart by the middle of 2012.  With the reduction, the Read More …

Pakistani Intelligence on the Defensive

Brian M Downing  I know it was you, Fredo.  That Osama bin Laden has been living comfortably in Abbottabad and evidently directing al Qaeda from there – all within earshot of a Pakistani military facility – has been a tremendous embarrassment to Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), but it comes as Read More …

Dividing up Afghanistan and its resources 

Brian M Downing  The United States is seeking a negotiated settlement in Afghanistan. It hopes to reverse the Taliban’s momentum and bring them to the bargaining table through a counter-insurgency program, diplomacy with indigenous tribes and foreign powers, and the attrition of Taliban forces. This, the US expects, will give Read More …

Method or Madness in Hamid Karzai

Brian M Downing Much of the world is befuddled by the actions and ineptitude of Afghan President Hamid Karzai.  It has led to speculation that he is manic depressive, an opium addict, or just singularly unskilled in politics.  As with assessing a figure as “evil” or “insane,” this tends to Read More …

Russia’s Afghan foray

Brian M Downing  Russia’s use of its military and security forces has historically not been known for economy of force or strategic subtlety. Injudicious invaders and troublesome satellites have been met with overwhelming force. However, in the decades after Joseph Stalin and his successors belatedly departed the scene, Russia has Read More …

Pakistani Generals and ISAF supply lines through the Khyber Pass

Brian M Downing Pakistan has closed the legendary Khyber Pass through flow critical NATO supply convoys.  The stated reason for the closing, now in its fifth day, is in retaliation for an attack inside Pakistani territory by American forces on a Taliban band that had sought safe haven in Pakistan. Read More …

Russia steps back into Afghanistan warily

Brian M Downing  Russia’s use of its military and security forces has historically not been known for economy of force or strategic subtlety.  Injudicious invaders and troublesome satellites have been met with overwhelming force.  However, in the decades after Stalin and his successors belatedly departed the scene, Russia has used Read More …